Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Sexy Dancing vs. Peak Oil: Oily Cassandra



I believe this video is about peak oil, but to be honest, I, uh, had a difficult time concentrating on what she was saying. :)

Fortunately, I have previously written up my thoughts on peak oil, buying local, and sustainable artificial fertilizer (not that fertilizer is actually made from oil, regardless of what the "everything is made from oil" crowd says).

via YouTube via TreeHugger

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State of Photovoltaics: 2007

Global production of photovoltaic (PV) or solar cells-which convert the sun's light directly to electricity-increased 51 percent in 2007, to 3,733 megawatts.1 (See Figure 1.) According to early estimates, more than 2,935 megawatts of solar modules were installed that year, bringing cumulative global installations of PVs since 1996 to more than 9,740 megawatts-enough to meet the annual electricity demand of more than 3 million homes in Europe. Over the past five years, annual global production of PV cells has increased nearly sevenfold, and cumulative installations have grown more than fivefold.
More interesting statistics in the article.

via Worldwatch

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Grand Theft Auto IV Tops $500 Million in One Week

The take for GTA IV's first week of sales:

Total worldwide sales (revenue): more than $500 million [Source: Take-Two Interactive]
Total worldwide sales (units): 6 million [Source: Take-Two Interactive]
Total budget estimate: $100 million [Source]
Not to mention a couple of Guinness World Records.

It is completely amazing to me that a video game can make over 1/2 a billion dollars in just one week. Yet another sign that video games are overtaking movies as a form of entertainment. Iron Man opened at the same time and grossed just $201 million worldwide in its first week. As VoltageBlog points out, this dispels the myth that video games are the reason for lowered box office takes.

At $100 million, the budget of GTA was similar to that of high budget Hollywood movies (I believe Iron Man had a budget of $140 million). GTA took 3 years of effort and close to 1,000 people contributed. I don't know how those numbers compare to movies, but I think they are fairly similar.

via Wired

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Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Record-Breaking Mentos and Coke Explosions

Around 1,500 students kitted out in waterproof ponchos discovered exactly what happens when you drop a mint sweet into a bottle of Coca Cola, in an attempt to break a world record.

The explosive record-breaking event was held in Ladeuzeplein square in Leuven, Belgium.
Video here.

via Telegraph

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Biofuel Comparison Chart

(Click for a larger version)

via TreeHugger

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Stick-On Solar with Lumeta

The holy grail of building-integrated solar might be paint-on solar, but in the meantime there is a peel-n-stick option. The Lumeta Power-Ply 380 panel uses adhesive to stick 8′x4′ panels to your roof in a matter of minutes without any racking or mounting systems — and as a result, no holes in your roof.

DRI estimates its Lumeta panels reduce installation hardware costs by 70 percent and cut installation time by 30 percent. The front of each panel is Teflon as opposed to glass, so they’re lightweight enough to be installed on weaker structures like sheds, awnings or carports.
via Earth2Tech

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Friday, May 09, 2008

X Prize: $100 Million for Clean Fuels

In its richest and largest competition yet, the foundation will divvy up some $100 million for transformations in biofuels, clean aviation fuel, energy storage, the provision of basic utilities for developing nations, and other categories.

The foundation has issued skeletal details on the new prizes in recent days on its Web site. In a telephone interview and an e-mail exchange, foundation President Tom Vander Ark said the biofuels prize would be launched late this year, followed by the other categories over the coming two years. The biofuels prize will be worth at least $10 million, he said.
Sounds good. I will be interested to find out what the specific goals will be for the prizes.

via Business Week

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Giant Stingrays Found Near Thai City

Recreational fishers and biologist Zeb Hogan (wearing cap) hold a live, 14-foot-long (4.3-meter-long) giant freshwater stingray the fishers caught in the Bang Pakong River in Chachoengsao, Thailand, on March 31, 2008.

There are accounts of freshwater stingrays growing as large as 1,000 pounds (450 kilograms), which could make them the largest freshwater fish in the world, Hogan said.

Hogan runs the National Geographic Society's Megafishes Project, an effort to document 20 or so freshwater giants.
via National Geographic

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Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Green Homes: Solar Panels vs. Energy Efficiency

While it’s not as sexy as a rooftop rack of silicon, improving a home’s energy efficiency tends to be the more cost-effective way to trim carbon emissions. So why are politicians showering subsidies on residential solar instead?

That’s the question posed by Matt Golden, president of Sustainable Spaces, a company specializing in optimizing the energy performance of homes. He convinced the Olssons to think first about energy efficiency, but with every new solar subsidy, it gets harder for him to get homeowners’ attention and contracts.
While I like solar panels (and creative loans to make them easier to purchase), I like implementing the most cost-effective ways to save energy even more.

How can homeowners figure out which are the most cost effective ways to save energy? Energy audits:
Energy officials say they want homeowners to make such rational assessments, but audits cost several hundred dollars and fixes can be time-consuming. That makes it tricky to agree on when and how homeowners should be pushed into the process.

One obvious moment: when a house goes up for sale.

Getting real estate agents to add an energy-efficiency rating in the database of homes for sale would dramatically boost awareness of energy audits. The ratings would act like an auto fuel-efficiency sticker for homes, says Golden.
An energy audit when a home goes for sale is a great idea, as I have written about before.

And what are three examples of technologies that get a better bang for the buck than solar panels?

One, solar water heating:
According to their analysis, published in the International Journal of Global Energy, as the payback time for a solar water heating system is about two years (with a lifespan of 20), this is a far more cost-effective use of solar energy in the developing world than using it to generate electricity.
Two, passive houses:
The concept of the passive house, pioneered in this city of 140,000 outside Frankfurt, approaches the challenge from a different angle. Using ultrathick insulation and complex doors and windows, the architect engineers a home encased in an airtight shell, so that barely any heat escapes and barely any cold seeps in. That means a passive house can be warmed not only by the sun, but also by the heat from appliances and even from occupants’ bodies.

His new home uses about one-twentieth the heating energy of his parents’ home of roughly the same size, he said. And in Germany, passive houses cost only about 5 to 7 percent more to build than conventional houses.

Decades ago, attempts at creating sealed solar-heated homes failed, because of stagnant air and mold. But new passive houses use an ingenious central ventilation system. The warm air going out passes side by side with clean, cold air coming in, exchanging heat with 90 percent efficiency.
Check out this cool graphic on how passive houses work.

Third, improved weatherization:
Call it CSI: Thermal Police — energy experts armed with mostly low-tech tools but strong sleuthing skills, finding flaws that let the air inside a house go through a full exchange with the outdoors twice an hour, instead of once every two or three hours.

Correct those flaws, and heating and cooling costs are typically cut by 20 percent to 30 percent, a saving of more than $1,000 annually in some households. In addition, carbon dioxide emissions and the strain on the national electric and gas systems are reduced.

Typical repairs require expertise but generally cost $2,000 or less. The most significant improvement for the Ficks’ house was an inch-thick piece of foam board, which Mr. Kinzer shaped with a utility knife and applied to the exposed heating duct. The repair cost less than $100, including $10 for materials, but it will cut the Ficks’ heating bill by several hundred dollars per heating season, said Tim Kenny’s father, Tom, a veteran weatherizer.
Weatherization could also create a significant amount of jobs:
About 140,000 houses will be weatherized with public help this year, a total that President-elect Barack Obama has promised to raise to one million, to reduce energy consumption and cut energy costs for households and taxpayers, who often absorb those costs for the poor. This would represent a historic shift in emphasis for the federal and state governments, reducing poor people’s energy bills instead of helping to pay them.

Weatherizing a million homes annually would also create about 78,000 jobs for a year, according to the federal Energy Department’s weatherization project director, Gil Sperling.

The current 140,000 annual total creates about 8,000 jobs, Mr. Sperling said.

Congress added $250 million to the weatherization budget for the fiscal year that began Oct. 1. Energy experts say that money could be effectively spent in low-income households and in households that have no need of public assistance.

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Sunday, May 04, 2008

Photosynthesis on a Chip

Scientists at the University of Tel Aviv in Israel claim they have found a way to construct efficient photovoltaic cells costing at least a hundred times less than conventional silicon based devices, and with similar or better energy conversion efficiency.

The reactive element in the researchers' patent pending device is genetically engineered proteins using photosynthesis for production of electrical energy.

The scientists applied genetic engineering and nanotechnology for the construction of a hybrid nano -- bio, solid state device. According to the researchers, although using photosynthesis for photovoltaic application is not new, their specific technique is the first to enable the production of useful photosynthesis-based photovoltaic cells.

The researchers suggest existing silicon based photovoltaic cells offer low average energy conversion efficiency of 12-14 percent, while their system is capable of efficiencies of about 25 percent.

Larry Loev, director of business development for high technologies at Ramot told EETimes the low cost of the proposed device is based on the low cost of PS I in comparison to silicon. While one square meter of PS I should cost around $1, a similar area made of silicon should cost around $200.

Ramot aims to develop a cost effective device of 10mm X 10mm in size within three years.
via EETimes and Earth2Tech

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Sunrgi: Concentrating Solar

SUNRGI's "concentrated photovoltaic" system relies on lenses to magnify sunlight 2,000 times, letting it produce as much electricity as standard panels with a far smaller system.

Under its plans, which experts call promising but highly ambitious, SUNRGI would initially target utilities and large industrial and commercial customers. The company — founded by veterans of computer, digital design, aerospace and solar industries — would market to homes within three years.

Executives of the year-old company say they'll start producing solar panels by mid-2009 that will generate electricity for about 7 cents a kilowatt hour, including installation.

Solar panels generate electricity when photons in sunlight knock loose electrons in silicon or another semiconductor. Other concentrated photovoltaic makers magnify sunlight about 500 times. SUNRGI says it can multiply that by four because it has a system to instantly cool its germanium-based semiconductor from 3,300 degrees to 20 degrees above ambient temperature. High temperatures can melt a solar cell.

Also pushing down costs are a highly efficient semiconductor that converts 37% of the sunlight to electricity, more than double the industry average.
I am highly skeptical that they can hit 7¢ a kWh by 2009, but I will keep my fingers crossed.

via USA Today and Earth2Tech

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Thursday, May 01, 2008

Orangutan Attempts to Hunt Fish with Spear

A male orangutan, clinging precariously to overhanging branches, flails the water with a pole, trying desperately to spear a passing fish. It is the first time one has been seen using a tool to hunt.

This individual had seen locals fishing with spears on the Gohong River. Although the method required too much skill for him to master, he was later able to improvise by using the pole to catch fish already trapped in the locals' fishing lines.
via Daily Mail

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Financial Literacy

In January George Bush appointed Mr Bryant vice-chairman of his new President's Council on Financial Literacy. This was launched as part of his administration's increasingly frenetic response to the financial crisis that followed the meltdown in subprime mortgages, many of them given to borrowers who may not have understood the risks. Often borrowers did not even realise that their monthly payment would rise if interest rates went up, says Mr Bryant.
I agree that financial illiteracy is rampant in the US and the need for financial education is great. I am amazed by how many college graduates don't understand how credit cards work and get into large debt due to their ignorance. I think this financial illiteracy has lead to America's historically low savings rate, and historically high number of bankruptcies.

This Council on Financial Literacy seems like a good start, but I am skeptical that the curriculum (found at this post) that came out of this will actually help that much as it is too divorced from actual money. It reminds me of this anti-smoking curriculum that while well designed and administered was found to have no impact on smoking rates.

Instead I like two other approaches highlighted in the article.
Meanwhile, on March 17th a new campaign to promote financial literacy in the developing world was launched at
a conference in Amsterdam. Called Aflatoun (“Explorer”), after a cartoon character based on a Bollywood star, it is the brainchild of Jeroo Billimoria, a social entrepreneur who previously worked with street children in India. Among other things, she founded a successful emergency 24-hour telephone service, called Childline. She found that many of the children she helped were entrepreneurial (indeed, such spirits may have played a part in their decision to leave home) and became convinced that, given better education, they would have done well in life.

Ms Billimoria addresses herself to children aged between six and 14, whom most educators consider too young to understand money. Having begun with experiments in rural India, her non-profit organisation, Child Savings International, has piloted the Aflatoun course in 11 countries, including Argentina, South Africa, Vietnam and Zimbabwe, since 2005. It is now extending the course to 35 developing countries. Only recently, after suggestions from the Dutch central bank and the European Commission, has Ms Billimoria started to adapt Aflatoun for rich countries such as Britain, the Netherlands, Ireland and perhaps America.

Ms Billimoria encountered a great deal of scepticism when she developed her financial-literacy programme for six- to 14-year-olds. Yet she was convinced that starting with youngsters would be more effective, because that is “when their concept of themselves is developing and by 14 most of their habits have formed.”

An important part of the teaching is getting the children to start saving, ideally by opening bank accounts. Typically, they have only tiny amounts, but this is enough to get them used to handling money properly. At first this faced a lot of resistance, as people asked, “How can young children handle money?” recalls Ms Billimoria, but “it soon caught on and parents started giving children money to save.”
I agree that beyond cognitively understanding why to save, saving needs to be turned into a habit that people just do by default. This is most easily accomplished when we are young.

I also like this idea:
He is enthusiastic about schemes such as the Child Trust Funds introduced in Britain. These “baby bonds” give every child a fund that matures at adulthood, letting everyone start out with a nest-egg. Mr Mandell is particularly excited by the curriculum being designed to be taught in conjunction with these funds, starting when children reach the age of seven. “Teachers will be able to talk about money realistically, because the kids will have ownership of wealth.”
This idea sounds similar to my Baby Bonds + Financial Education bold idea to change America I wrote about previously. The education will be much more effective if students had real money that they were working with. Too bad Hillary got shot down when she proposed this.

The whole article is good and is worth a read, and you might want to check out Operation Hope and Jump$tart as well.

via The Economist

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Paying the Rent with Excrement

From A Farewell to Alms:

One crucial economic problem for hygiene in preindustrial Europe was that human waste had little or no market value, because it was not socially acceptable to use it as the valuable fertilizer it was for farm and garden purposes. As Alan Macfarlane notes, "where in Japan, night soil could be used in lieu of rent, in England one had to pay to have it taken away." Its disposal was thus a major social problem in Europe. Samuel Pepys, for example, complains in his diary in October 1660 that "Going down to my cellar ... I put my feet into a great heap of turds, by which I find that Mr. Turner's house of office is full and comes into my cellar." Neighbors' overflowing turds were apparently nothing more than an everyday nuisance in seventeenth-century London.

In contrast in China and Japan human waste, urine as well as feces, was a valuable property which householders sold to farmers, and which various groups competed for the right to collect. Waste was not dumped into cesspits, sewers, and streams, contaminating water supplies. Instead in cities such as 18th century Osaka contractors found it profitable even to provide public containers on street corners in order to profit from the waste deposits. In China and Japan the waste also seems to have been carried away daily, as opposed to being stored in cesspits below houses which were only periodically emptied.

Human waste poses danger as a fertilizer, but the Japanese at least, aware of this, stored the waste in pits and tubs for months before use, allowing fermentation the time to destroy many of the infectious organisms.
That is amazing that in Japan night soil could be used in lieu (or should that be "in loo", heh) of rent.

I am now fascinated by the economics of human waste. I wonder how much a person in Japan got for their night soil? Was it really enough to pay for all of the rent? Somehow I don't think so. But, apparently it was enough to keep the streets clean.

I wonder how the numbers would look today. Could you make a profitable enterprise out of this in one of the 3rd world slum cities today? Has artificial fertilizer become so cheap that this business no longer makes sense? Are their enough farmers within a close enough radius that you could distribute to them economically? Do the pharmaceutical products that modern people take impact the quality of the fertilizer? If you did use humanure, could you still sell your produce as organic?

If you could clean up the slums, remove the costs of a sewer system, and at the same time increase the yield of farmers, this seems like a good thing to do.

Since my dream of being a cow fart tycoon has come to an end, I think I might have to replace it with being a humanure tycoon. I've got my tagline ready to go: Turning honey buckets into money buckets.

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The Shortage of Silicon for Solar Panels Almost Over

Solar electricity is about to get much cheaper, industry analysts predict, because a shortage of the silicon used in solar panels is almost over.

Solar power cost about $4 a watt in the early 2000s, but silicon shortages, which began in 2005, have pushed up prices to more than $4.80 per watt, according to Solarbuzz. Indeed, the growth in silicon production hasn't kept pace with the rise in solar power. The shortage has been severe enough to drive up silicon prices to more than 10 times normal levels, to $450 a kilogram, adds Ted Sullivan, an analyst at Lux Research.

While only 15,000 tons of silicon were available for use in solar cells in 2005, by 2010, this number could grow to 123,000 tons, Sullivan says. And that will allow existing and planned production of solar panels to ramp up, increasing supply. "What that means, practically, is that [solar] module prices are going to come down pretty dramatically in the next two or three years," Bradford says.

In a recent presentation, Bradford said that prices for solar panels could drop by as much as 50 percent from 2006 to 2010. In areas that get a lot of sun, that will translate to solar electricity costs of about 10 cents per kilowatt hour, matching the average price of electricity in the United States.
via Technology Review

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